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TariffsApr 2, 2025Likely driver

April 2025: sweeping US tariffs and the sharpest selloff of the year

Backfilled context carries a typed causal-confidence label and never claims a confirmed driver without human-attached evidence — a single reviewed reference establishes chronology, not causation.

What happened

On 2 April 2025 the US administration announced sweeping "reciprocal" tariffs covering most trading partners, at rates far above prior expectations. Global equities fell hard over the following sessions, and roughly a week later the administration announced a 90-day pause on the higher country-specific rates, after which equities staged one of their strongest single-day rallies in years.

What was known then

At the time of the announcement, tariffs had been signalled for weeks but the breadth and size of the announced rates exceeded most published expectations. During the selloff, it was not known whether rates would be negotiated down, paused, or implemented in full.

Market reaction

A multi-session global equity selloff of unusual speed followed the announcement, accompanied by heavy volatility in bonds and currencies; the subsequent pause announcement was followed by a historic one-day rebound.

What was uncertain

Which tariffs would survive negotiation, how trading partners would retaliate, what the inflation pass-through would be, and whether unusual moves in US Treasuries signalled deeper stress.

What changed afterward

Tariff policy became the dominant macro variable of 2025: subsequent months brought sector-specific actions, partner-by-partner deals, legal challenges, and a persistent tariff premium in inflation discussions.

Why it still matters

Current tariff stories — new rates, exemptions, court rulings, retaliation — all trace back to this framework. Our tariff coverage and recap driver-labels use this episode as their reference point.

Sources

Primary and official references reviewed for this entry.

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